Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.138808 10.093488 11.115912 12.294087 13.616443 15.057251 16.749256
2025-10-05 7.774607 9.107098 10.632516 12.515366 14.786979 17.451672 20.832453
2025-10-12 6.774853 8.346277 10.251806 12.750057 15.964677 19.996433 25.490104
2025-10-19 5.906880 7.600241 9.758852 12.743273 16.810854 22.231256 30.119441
2025-10-26 5.172674 6.911673 9.227434 12.583207 17.398875 24.179432 34.664540
2025-11-02 4.574532 6.319196 8.734156 12.384144 17.872383 26.000053 39.298246
2025-11-09 4.081126 5.806969 8.279972 12.162516 18.254474 27.706284 44.009158
2025-11-16 3.688465 5.391206 7.909322 12.003449 18.686668 29.519095 49.164476
2025-11-23 3.376996 5.059776 7.622154 11.926567 19.219833 31.542770 54.996726
2025-11-30 3.184543 4.888338 7.558153 12.190265 20.335918 34.687241 63.378718
2025-12-07 2.944526 4.616176 7.302059 12.096461 20.810177 36.748524 70.064167
2025-12-14 2.697387 4.308515 6.955508 11.802393 20.877512 38.052387 75.452612
2025-12-21 2.504670 4.078219 6.723527 11.696951 21.302742 40.145674 83.002873
2025-12-28 2.410727 4.007089 6.758064 12.080633 22.716065 44.420814 96.242286
2026-01-04 2.316559 3.926560 6.767152 12.416062 24.079536 48.816450 110.767109
2026-01-11 2.191935 3.780489 6.642783 12.476948 24.885309 52.142541 123.479494
2026-01-18 2.056050 3.602277 6.441889 12.361366 25.298156 54.653624 134.708229
2026-01-25 1.926286 3.424754 6.226144 12.190682 25.565592 56.868459 145.679783
2026-02-01 1.804705 3.253056 6.006564 11.987560 25.731648 58.865743 156.539224
2026-02-08 1.700040 3.105732 5.822272 11.839842 26.005800 61.176337 168.904604
2026-02-15 1.612325 2.984756 5.680410 11.769443 26.454119 64.009090 183.613492
2026-02-22 1.564518 2.938951 5.687511 12.032488 27.754022 69.327188 207.739684
2026-03-01 1.486663 2.826800 5.547137 11.942058 28.151597 72.244484 224.721112